Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 1.780488 2.155084 2.560848 3.029834 3.553772 4.118055 4.768676
2025-01-26 1.210428 1.699094 2.278405 3.001550 3.866036 4.853127 6.052064
2025-02-02 0.853577 1.391278 2.086489 3.015918 4.191684 5.597735 7.374038
2025-02-09 0.568309 1.094728 1.841071 2.908727 4.332406 6.106320 8.424022
2025-02-16 0.376390 0.869881 1.639257 2.813481 4.455746 6.576315 9.426371
2025-02-23 0.262728 0.729354 1.525438 2.811969 4.684947 7.174430 10.595832
2025-03-02 0.172092 0.593278 1.387208 2.748339 4.809871 7.626750 11.579573
2025-03-09 0.132535 0.544554 1.382345 2.880539 5.212118 8.457392 13.074006
2025-03-16 0.089138 0.464022 1.302675 2.879497 5.411116 9.008616 14.204081
2025-03-23 0.071159 0.441880 1.328203 3.050679 5.871824 9.933188 15.853551
2025-03-30 0.052918 0.407183 1.320756 3.161262 6.240175 10.733226 17.346363
2025-04-06 0.035546 0.360612 1.277739 3.202038 6.496787 11.375825 18.631436
2025-04-13 0.019478 0.299244 1.189299 3.154622 6.616052 11.832365 19.684235
2025-04-20 0.011948 0.268320 1.166098 3.226113 6.929866 12.581713 21.162545
2025-04-27 0.006774 0.239863 1.141749 3.291254 7.233328 13.320733 22.637700
2025-05-04 0.002190 0.191092 1.046114 3.201550 7.268429 13.654433 23.538774
2025-05-11 0.000382 0.150156 0.956725 3.111418 7.293516 13.968381 24.412121
2025-05-18 0.000030 0.126697 0.914160 3.115443 7.480392 14.532040 25.653359
2025-05-25 NaN 0.099503 0.844909 3.049941 7.536846 14.890637 26.597413
2025-06-01 NaN 0.095396 0.865197 3.193091 7.976749 15.859357 28.451727
2025-06-08 NaN 0.079302 0.827066 3.192642 8.150496 16.408262 29.690910
2025-06-15 NaN 0.079411 0.863466 3.376437 8.672813 17.521141 31.781168
2025-06-22 NaN 0.074455 0.873515 3.495004 9.075113 18.447159 33.602322